HomeMy WebLinkAbout04032024 PACAB Nicole Lawrence Housing PresentationPresented 4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence of Seward Properties
Housing Issues
Affecting
Eniicwrtin
Soi'd
Supplement to
Presentation to PACAB on
2/2/2022
Presented By. Node Lawenae
cif Sev\ard PrgpertieS
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(1)
*based off Seward Properties' rentals only
Apartments (generally include utilities - very different layouts, size and amenities)
Size
Monthly Rental Rate
2022
Monthly Rental Rate
2024
1 bed
$900
$1,025
+14%
2 bed
$1,150
$1,600
+30%
3 bed
$1,300
$1,700
+30%
4 bed
$1,700
$2,100
+23.5%
Houses (utilities are now (in 2024) generally additional and avg extra $300-$750/month depending on size - very
different layouts, size and amenities)
Size
Monthly Rental Rate
2022
Monthly Rental Rate
2024
1 bed
$1,100
$1,160
+14.5%
2 bed
$1,250
$1,400
+12%
3 bed
$1,500
$1,700
+13%
4+ bed
$1,800
$2,100
+16%
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
Summary of S
• In 2022, rental prices were only around 1 % higher than when we started property management
back in 2011. Very little change over 10 years.
• On average, in the past two years, rental rates increased 19%. I predicted 20% when I gave this
presentation two years ago.
• This is because home prices increased so dramatically from 2020 to 2022, thereby increasing
mortgages, and if owners hold onto properties with higher mortgages, they tend to charge
more in rent to cover those mortgages.
• Apartments generally include heat so rent is a little higher to include this utility.
• For houses, tenants typically pay the utilities. With the electric utility increase, utilities are a
barrier for many renters looking for single family homes and further increases the cost of living.
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
of Seward
What Can A Renter Afforcl?
It is recommended to
spend 30% of your gross monthly income on housing
• For a non income subsidized 1 bed apartment at $1025/month including
utilities, a renter would need to make -$41,000/year
o Income subsidized apartments (like Pacific Park) require that a single applicant
make less than 50% of the area median income (AMI) for KPB which is $105,500
(2024). A single applicant could not make more than $36,500, in order to qualify.
2023 Income Limits Link
• A non income subsidized 3 bed for a family would require an annual income
of approx $68,000.
o For a 3 bed income subsidized apartment, a family of four would need to make less
than $52,100 to qualify.
CHALLENGING FOR FAMILIES!
Often cannot qualify for income subsidized. And very few non income
subsidized 3 bedrooms apartments available.
* When calculatin: necessar income, this is calculated b housin cost/.3 (30%) x 12 months
Average financeable home price
is around $400,000, currently.
100
75
50
25
0
Seward "Sold" and "Days on Market" Residential Statistics
, Days on Market , Number Sold
�7r
2018 2019 2020 2021
Year
2022
2023
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
of Seward
Properties
*MLS stats
• We usually sell on avg 42 homes per year and last year (2023) we only sold 24.
• The major lack of inventory was due to many people not wanting to have to move
into a home with a higher interest rate. Rates were at -8% in October 2023.
• Most homes in good shape and properly priced sell in 7 days or less.
What Can A Buyer Afford?.
as�f Fy
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
of Seward
Properties
For a house costing $400,000, with 5% down and 6.5% interest on a 30 year loan...
_ ' ,
insurance
$105
$241
$2,402
* When calculating necessary income, this is calculated by
monthly housing cost/.3 (30%) x 12 months
Utilities Housing Cost
$5501month — $3,4001month
3M00
WHO'S BUYING?
OWNER OCCUPIED
+1' ' of ALL Buyer's vvere 1st time Buyers
LONG-TERM RENTAL INVESTMENT
SECOND HOME
VACATION RENTAL INVESTMENT
Based • ff Seward Properties' clients v iio purchased res-den=idI property 2019-present
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
Summary of
• Interest rates make a huge difference in what a buyer can afford.
• At current interest rates, buyers may be spending more than 30% of their income on
housing which leaves less flexible spending.
• Buying is less affordable than renting in some cases.
• Homes in Seward continue to appreciate in value by around 5% per year.
• Homes DO sell for less than $400,000 - that is just the current average.
• There is hope! We had a first time home buyer event in 2023 and within six months,
five of the attendees owned their first home.
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
r nforLand
arket e sin Sew
utcide Unafts
20234110,000/acre
hi.s.de City fts
20234110,000/lot
• These numbers are averages and depend on many variables including location,
elevation, ease of utility installs, flood zone, etc.
• New Seward Hilltop Properties Sub will open up 77 more parcels for development
but this takes time to affect our housing needs, which continue to grow.
Total Cost to Build
`112,0
An average acre is
$1 10 000. Similar prices
for .07 acre lot
downtown or .3 acre lot
near schoo[s.
Q1
.fool $.Q,QQip
Wells are usually $10.000.
ptics are around
$12 r0OO. Electric can b
$ 5,O O0.
It can cost much more
depending on elevation.
Inside City Ea rn its can be
significantly more.
F
.11
Building costs are
$ 50-$3001sq ft. For a
1200 sq ft home it would
cost $330,000.
5,000
25%
down
equired
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
What Has Been Done in Past TW�YE
More Houses/Land & Builders
City supported utility development to the new Hilltop Properties Subdivision
City Enforcement
City enforced new rules on primary residential zoning to not allow for NEW nightly
lodging permits (R1, R2, RR and UR) - We have seen a change in the marketability
of these properties that once allowed for nightly lodging but now do not.
More Multi-Plexes
Some employers building mutiplexes for their employees which opens up the
housing market in Seward for more year-round renters (Major Marine Tours, ZPA
LLC, Kayak Adventures Worldwide, etc)
Possible Solutions?
Presented
4/3/24 to PACAB
Nicole Lawrence
of Seward
Properties
- More Houses/Land & Builders
- Support making City land available for developing - Fort Raymond, etc
- Support expanding utilities to make building more affordable in more areas
- Getting developers who can add consistent & quality housing to the market at a rate to keep
up witi demand
Most of our builders are at capacity and often 6 months to a year out
- Home buyer assistance program through the City
- Allow for more tiny/small homes on R1 lots
- City Enforcement
- Don't allow nightly rentals in areas not zoned for it
- Incentivize/Enforcing building to happen sooner on lots inside City limits - especially ones sold
by the City
- Prioritize City lots going to locals instead of out of town folks who don't built
- More Multiplexes
- Not low income but quality multiplexes with different sized apartments = 3 bed
- Rezone R3 to not allow nightly rentals so that multiplexes don't become night lodging
- Change parking requirements and/or lot size requirements
FSeward Properhes
SALES•RENTALS•MANAGEMENT
Questions?
Preserted By. Node Lanrerm